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The age of empires: White paper

age of empires

How empires rise and fall

Historically, the cycle of rise and decline of ancient empires was an average 279 years that decreased to 130 during the classical period, and ultimately went down to 73 years (soviet Russia).

A review of events proves that:

– The more money societies make +
– The more education populations accumulate +
– Higher wealth and social disparities +
– Lower rates of social mobility =
– Major powers decline twice as fast

These were the key reasons behind historical changes in empires:

1. Economic issues
2. Social and cultural issues (social inequality)
3. Political issues and instability
4. Loss of traditional values
5. Government corruption
6. Migration
7. Misuse of surplus income and resources
8. Power struggles between the elites

social inequity
Social inequality and mobility across OECD countries

Since the 1770, GDP in Industrialized nations went up by 7.4 times every 100 years.

In the next technological revolution, we expect all 8 causes to reach unprecedented negative peaks & for powers to rise/decline in just a generation (~33 years).

The World doesn’t need any individuals or nations to be “once again”, the leading force. We need enlightened leaders (instead of career politicians) with enough values to ensure fairer resource extraction & income distribution – regardless of the political & economic systems in place.

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Bibliography

“What economic history tells us about the future”, E. Xata